A survey discovered that the United Kingdom Reform Party of Nigel Farage would win the greatest amount of seats in Parliament if the elections were held today, since the party continues to gain ground against the establishment of Westminster.
A Survey of 16,000 People from the More in Common Think Tank has suggested to “Dramatic Transformation of the Political Landscape” Has Occurred Sprotche The General Election Last July that The Forty in the Forty in the Forty in the Fortyture in the fortyture in the fortyture in the fortyture for the and work party. Migration.
The MRP survey (multilevel regression and post-stratification), which uses models to predict the results in the 650 electoral districts to determine the potential composition of the next Parliament, showed that the reform of Nigel Farage UK is at the rate of winning 180. This would represent an increase of 175 seats in last year’s elections.
While Labor and Conservative parties were linked to the reform in terms of general support, with the three parties in 24 percent, the two established matches came behind the populist party in terms of parliamentary seats, and both project to win. To win. This would represent a decrease of 246 seats for the Government Labor Party and an increase of 44 seats for conservatives.
Although the positions of the reform are widely to the right of the political spectrum, it has been consciously directed to the areas traditionally administered by the work of the country known as the “red wall”. These areas widely supported the Brexit referendum and are dominated by the working class, who argues that the reform has left behind by the leftist party, since it has become more progressive and has focused on the concerns of urban elites.
Demonstrating the fruits of the reform strategy, the survey found that 153 of its projected seats would be tasks of the constituencies currently controlled by work. In addition, of the ten projected cabinet ministers to lose their seats, nine would fall to reform the candidates, the MRP found.
More in common said that the survey reflected an “electrically fragmented elected”, since its projections would mean that no general part would be a general majority in the House of Commons.
However, the line of trend seems to be on the side of the reform, which only won five seats last year, almost approximately 14 percent of the votes.
Around the last months, the reform has exceeded multiple surveys nationwide. However, the most common survey repeats the first important survey that suggests that the Farage Party Windy win most seats in the common ones.
It will probably serve as a boost for the party, since it is aimed at the local council elections, which will represent the first significant reform test since Farage was chosen for Parliament.
Luke Tryl, director of the United Kingdom in more common, admitted that predicting the four -year result is a “dumb”, but said that “Nigel Farage’s reform in the United Kingdom arises as the greatest winners of this Parliament so far.”
“They could well become the biggest match in Parliament, something almost unthinkable a year ago. He thought that the party remains far from being able to ensure a majority, it is clear that the impulse of the reform is that a person who has a roof of which the Farage polarization mark is difficult to overcome.”
“Meanwhile, the Labor had assured a historic victory, they are now on the wrong side of a disappointed electorate frustrated by the slow rhythm of change and some of the first false steps of the government,” he added.