Israeli prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, has a special ability to survive. The oldest leader in the country has been in power for 18 years, around three non -consecutive periods, has seen many rivals and has survived several enemies.
The last fight is with Ronen Bar, the head of the Israel National Intelligence Agency, The Shin Bet.
Netanyahu fired Bar last month to what he called a breakdown in trust, but the Supreme Court has suspended the dismissal, waiting for an investigation.
I looked, he has protests against Netanyahu, the prime minister is accustomed to them, and now an affidavit presented by the bar on Monday, in which he loots several accusations against the Israeli leader.
They include Netanyahu’s demands that the bar imposes its loyalty over the decisions of the Supreme Court if the two ever collide and spy on the opponents of Netanyahu. Everything comes when Shin’s bet investigates financial ties between the Netanyahu and Qatar office.
Scandal after scandal
Netanyahu has denied Bar’s claims, calling his affidavit a “false” that would be “refuted in detail soon.”
The answer follows Netanyahu’s play book when he faces the opposition, a denial of any accusation against him, a change of guilt and pushing a problem to the future if possible.
The legal cases faced by Netanyahu, is in corruption trial, are an example. The prime minister has been able to drag the judicial process for years and has more recently used the Israel War against Gaza to delay his appearances in court.
“There is scandal fatigue in Israeli public,” Israeli political analyst Nimrod Flanchenberg told Al Jazeera.
Flaschenberg added that the increase in the polararies of Israeli society means that another scandal will hardly change where people are in the Netanyahu divisive.
“People who are against Netanyahu and against the government see as another evidence of corruption, the deterioration of democratic space and the end of Israeli democracy,” he said. “And the people of the Pro-Nananyahu camp see this as a bar trying to generate a coup against Netanyahu and his right-wing government.”
This polarization has been helped by the fact that the Israeli political opposition is fractured. The opposition figure Benny Gantz was once the throne challenger, but has been criticized for not taking strong positions on complicated issues, and there is growing support for him to be replaced as head of the National Political Alliance of the Unit.
“Many Israelis think [the current situation is] An emergency, but they really do not have the tools to change it, and there is no powerful opposition in the Parliament that can do something about it, “said Mairav Zonszein, Israel’s senior analyst with the international crisis group.
Strong coalition
The war in Gaza is a testimony of Netanyahu’s survival skills. Despite being blamed by many Israelis for not avoiding attacks on October 7, 2023, against Israel, among the most mortal in the country’s history, and cannot free the real captives maintained in Gaza or completely power. Completely. Completely. Completely.
That is just when the war becomes increasingly unpopular in Israel with 100,000 reservists who do not respond to their calls, according to Israeli-Palestine +972 magazine.
And yet, Netanyahu is possibly in a stronger political position than the beginning of the war, expanding the territory of Israeli hunted in Lebanon and Syria, all while the Administration of Allied Donald Trump assumes power in the United States.
The Netanyahu government coalition may have lost some figures over time, including former Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, but has solidified more when changing more to the right.
“His coalition is very solid and intact,” Zonszein said. “Through the last year and a half, only its coalition has stabilized.”
Netanyahu has been more and more supported by ultra-orthodox and extreme right parties as those led by two of the ministers more of the extreme right in their government-game Ben-Gvir and Bezalel Smotrich. While analysts said a right change has bothered many Israelis, there seems to be few possibilities of change at this time.
“A very radical step would be needed to eliminate Real Netanyahu from energy,” Zonszein said.
“It’s like a world grinding situation in which more accusations and evidence come to light,” Zonszein said, speaking of the scandals that Netanyahu has faced. “But that doesn’t mean changes anything on the ground.”
Little hope
A type or lethargy may have begun to establish itself in some sectors of Israeli society as Netanyahu cling to power.
His coalition has enough seats in Parliament to continue, and its members have their own reasons to want to avoid being broken.
That means that the only way in which Netanyahu is likely to be eliminated from power is through the elections, the following of what does not need to happen until October 27, 2026.
In theory, the attorney general could stop Netanyahu, not suitable for serving, but analysts said that would be controversial and unlikely to happen. Otherwise, the only way Netanyahu could be eliminated from power would be through elections.
A survey this month of Israel channel 12 showed that the new party of former right -wing prime minister, Naphtali Bennett, would win a majority if the elections were held today. But that is only not enough to calm some people’s concerns in Israel.
“Some Israelis are worried that there is a free and fair choice next year,” Zonszein said.
Flaschenberg said he feared that the police could be used by Netanyahu and his allies to suppress the vote.
However, there are some possible movements for the Israeli public to play. Flaschenberg said public attacks have been effective in the past. In mid -2023, a public strike prevented Netanyahu from shooting Gallant Althegh, another attempt to strike at the end of 2024 failed because the lack of clear demands.
And it is unlikely that the fury about the bar attempt to change things. In order for the pressure to manifest in something tangible against Netanyahu, a number or factors would have to reach the fruity.
“If this legal security situation with Ronen Bar and with the spin a bet will be intense and at the same time the wave of rejection that we are seeing or the wave of protests of army people against war, this could things and perhaps course.
“So I am not completely desperate about what could be developed in the coming months,” he said, before adding: “[But] I am relatively desperate. “